La escuela de los momios

FC St Gallen v FC Lugano

Inicio: 2026-03-17 18:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC St Gallen (Local)

Predicción 46.66%2.14momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.736%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.32%46.66%46.68%49.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.971.962.1156.18%50.88%51.02%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lugano (Visitante)

Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -0.744%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.34%27.02%27.05%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.253.6032.26%30.12%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -0.983%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.34%26.31%26.27%28.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.503.7033.33%29.01%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.32%EV -1.55%E -0.736%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -12.68%E -3.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:59
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -3.49%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.66%E -0.718%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 17:59
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 18:01
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:59
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.744%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.744%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:59
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 46.90%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.03%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 17:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -6.86%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 18:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 17:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 17:59
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -7.15%E -3.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 17:59
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 17:59
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 18:00
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 17:59
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 17:48
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:00
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.55%E -4.36%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.55%E -4.36%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:01
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 17:59
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 17:59
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 17:59
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 17:59
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:01
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 17:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:01
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -9.49%E -4.89%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -12.68%E -3.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 17:56
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 45.86%EV -9.95%E -5.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-17 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -9.95%E -5.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -16.20%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -10.42%E -5.43%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -10.42%E -5.43%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 17:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -21.07%E -7.02%K -10.54%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-17 17:59
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.47%EV -12.75%E -6.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-17 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.22%E -7.11%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -13.68%E -7.40%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -2.68%E -0.744%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:00
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.94%EV -16.95%E -9.52%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -17.13%E -5.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-17 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%6.0%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%6.0%2026-03-17 18:01