The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion v Servette

2026-11-21 19:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion (Local)

Prediction 56.27%1.78fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -7.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.15%56.19%56.35%57.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.631.651.6967.11%61.48%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Servette (Visit)

Prediction 21.31%4.69fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.65%21.40%21.15%22.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.174.104.6126.32%24.00%24.39%21.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%22.41%22.51%23.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.983.954.3027.78%25.15%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Sion (Local): 56.27%; Servette (Visit): 21.31%; Draw: 22.42%. For Servette (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.61, with an expected value of -1.75%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-09 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.65%EV -1.75%E -0.380%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.35%EV -4.48%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-09 18:05
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 17:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -11.43%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -11.43%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 17:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 17:54
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.15%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -5.16%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 17:54
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.69%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -5.16%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-09 18:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.56%EV -11.10%E -7.03%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -15.82%E -4.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -11.43%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-09 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.91%EV -12.23%E -7.84%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -19.02%E -5.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-09 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -12.79%E -8.25%K -23.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -15.92%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.2%2026-11-09 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 55.53%EV -16.16%E -10.85%K -32.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.49%EV -17.95%E -4.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.98%EV -19.28%E -5.36%K -7.42%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-09 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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