Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion v FC Zurich

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Sion 1–1 FC Zurich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion (Local)

Prediction 67.14%1.49fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -5.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.33%67.14%66.82%69.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.371.4575.76%72.84%72.99%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zurich (Visit)

Prediction 14.61%6.84fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.664%
Kelly +0.771%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 7.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.03%14.60%14.83%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.246.407.1718.18%16.01%15.63%13.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.25%5.48fair odd
EV +0.381%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.33%18.26%18.35%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.935.005.5022.73%20.30%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Sion (Local): 67.14%; FC Zurich (Visit): 14.61%; Draw: 18.25%. For FC Zurich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.15%EV -5.34%E -3.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.40%EV +4.76%E +0.664%K +0.771%G +0.037%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.44%EV -4.91%E -0.943%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +2.28%E +0.325%K +0.379%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +0.381%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -11.38%E -8.62%K -35.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +2.28%E +0.325%K +0.379%G +0.009%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -6.92%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.71%EV -6.68%E -4.80%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -0.647%E -0.095%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.92%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.71%EV -6.68%E -4.80%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -0.647%E -0.095%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.92%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -8.02%E -5.85%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -1.38%E -0.204%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -8.02%E -5.85%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -2.11%E -0.315%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.09%E -0.980%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:32
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.81%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -11.48%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:35
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.39%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.39%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:33
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -9.36%E -6.94%K -26.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -10.57%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 15:54
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -19.69%E -4.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.71%E -8.05%K -32.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.03%E -0.774%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -13.31%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:31
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:30
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:31
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:31
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:35
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.49%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 04:31
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.35%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.07%EV -8.10%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.58%EV -11.66%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.05%EV -9.36%E -6.94%K -26.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -8.68%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -10.57%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.73%EV -5.34%E -3.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.41%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -5.09%E -0.980%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.18%E -0.796%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.18%E -0.796%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.96%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -14.22%E -3.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 04:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.96%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -14.22%E -3.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 04:31
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.29%EV -10.03%E -7.49%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.90%EV -14.22%E -3.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -10.03%E -7.49%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -16.04%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 04:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -10.03%E -7.49%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -16.04%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 04:31
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -10.03%E -7.49%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -16.04%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 04:31
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.71%E -8.05%K -32.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -12.34%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -16.04%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-19 15:54
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.96%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -15.99%E -2.78%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -18.18%E -3.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -5.09%E -0.980%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.03%E -7.49%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -18.18%E -3.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -14.22%E -3.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.82%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -19.64%E -3.57%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -19.64%E -3.57%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -12.39%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -19.64%E -3.57%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -12.39%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 15:54
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -19.64%E -3.57%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -12.39%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -10.71%E -8.05%K -32.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -19.64%E -3.57%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -13.31%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-19 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-09-19 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-09-19 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-09-19 15:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-09-19 15:55
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-09-19 15:55