Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion v FC Winterthur

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion (Local)

Prediction 72.77%1.37fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -12.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.09%72.64%72.77%73.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.271.271.3286.21%78.84%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Winterthur (Visit)

Prediction 10.69%9.36fair odd
EV +6.86%
Edge +0.686%
Kelly +0.762%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.24%10.70%10.72%12.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.689.0010.0013.79%11.52%11.11%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.55%6.04fair odd
EV -0.718%
Edge -0.120%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.74%16.66%16.51%19.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.445.506.0022.22%18.39%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Sion (Local): 72.77%; FC Winterthur (Visit): 10.69%; Draw: 16.55%. For FC Winterthur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.36. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +6.86%E +0.686%K +0.762%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 16:54
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.86%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.49%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.34%EV +6.75%E +0.676%K +0.751%G +0.051%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.80%EV -13.29%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +1.51%E +0.159%K +0.178%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 16:54
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.50%EV -5.40%E -4.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%9.41I 10.63%NM 10.02%EV +0.553%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.49%EV -10.81%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.43%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV +0.446%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:55
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.22%EV -4.67%E -3.57%K -15.08%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.60%EV -3.29%E -0.364%K -0.409%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.18%EV -1.88%E -0.316%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -0.718%E -0.120%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -0.718%E -0.120%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 16:09
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.95%E -2.99%K -12.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -0.718%E -0.120%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 16:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.22%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.29%EV -4.03%E -0.694%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -4.03%E -0.694%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:05
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:10
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:09
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:09
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 09:10
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 16:55
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.78%EV -9.77%E -7.88%K -40.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -3.83%E -0.425%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.13%E -2.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.05%EV -4.67%E -3.57%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.79%EV -6.50%E -0.743%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:14
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -8.10%E -0.942%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -5.68%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:30
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -8.10%E -0.942%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -5.68%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:29
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.40%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 10.92%EV -8.64%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -7.34%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.40%E -4.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.85%E -0.844%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.08%EV -7.59%E -5.97%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -4.03%E -0.694%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:49
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -6.13%E -4.75%K -21.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.13%E -2.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:15
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -8.31%E -6.60%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -8.31%E -6.60%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 09:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.40%EV -12.68%E -10.57%K -63.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.22%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -11.22%E -9.20%K -51.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -9.17%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -25.54%E -5.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-07 16:49
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -14.51%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -13.13%E -2.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.88%EV -9.77%E -7.88%K -40.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -14.51%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.13%E -2.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 16:34
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -14.51%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 16:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.83%EV -10.50%E -8.53%K -45.64%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.18%EV -15.58%E -1.97%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -13.96%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.47%EV -8.31%E -6.60%K -31.97%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -17.19%E -2.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -4.03%E -0.694%K -0.839%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -19.86%E -2.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 14:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.86%E -5.36%K -24.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -19.86%E -2.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.04%E -7.23%K -36.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -19.86%E -2.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.99%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 72.12%EV -15.59%E -13.44%K -97.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.15%EV -19.86%E -2.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.73%EV -17.26%E -3.45%K -4.32%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-07 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.34%EV -10.50%E -8.53%K -45.64%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -22.53%E -3.11%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -12.30%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-03-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-03-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-03-07 16:44
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%1.9%2026-03-07 16:40
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35%1.9%2026-03-07 16:44