Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion v FC Vaduz

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Sion 3–2 FC Vaduz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion (Local)

Prediction 62.54%1.60fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%62.62%62.43%65.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5671.43%68.12%68.03%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Vaduz (Visit)

Prediction 17.09%5.85fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +0.428%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.17%17.07%17.16%18.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.35%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.37%4.91fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.459%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.93%20.31%20.41%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.534.555.0025.00%22.07%21.98%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Sion (Local): 62.54%; FC Vaduz (Visit): 17.09%; Draw: 20.37%. For FC Vaduz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.85. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +2.57%E +0.428%K +0.513%G +0.013%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.25%E -0.685%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -9.32%E -6.43%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +2.57%E +0.428%K +0.513%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV +1.84%E +0.367%K +0.459%G +0.008%5.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.57%E +0.428%K +0.513%G +0.013%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.57%E +0.428%K +0.513%G +0.013%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.57%E +0.428%K +0.513%G +0.013%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -12.45%E -8.89%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +2.57%E +0.428%K +0.513%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:25
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:50
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -2.24%E -0.466%K -0.588%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.62%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -3.25%E -0.685%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.78%EV -11.20%E -7.88%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -0.853%E -0.147%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -3.25%E -0.685%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -1.71%E -0.297%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -8.69%E -5.95%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -1.71%E -0.297%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -11.82%E -8.38%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -1.71%E -0.297%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -4.27%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -11.82%E -8.38%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -1.71%E -0.297%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -4.27%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.72%EV -11.82%E -8.38%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -1.71%E -0.297%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -4.27%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -2.56%E -0.449%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:19
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.14%EV -3.07%E -1.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.42%EV -5.47%E -0.989%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.45%EV -4.07%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 14:25
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.33%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.08%EV -5.81%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.59%EV -6.92%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.81%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:10
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.49%E -4.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -9.32%E -6.43%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.98%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -12.42%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 14:04
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -6.82%E -4.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.19%EV -6.84%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.27%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.82%E -4.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -6.84%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.69%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -13.44%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -6.82%E -4.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -9.40%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -7.33%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:24
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -6.82%E -4.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -9.40%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -7.33%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -10.25%E -1.95%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.25%E -0.685%K -0.868%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -10.25%E -1.95%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -10.25%E -1.95%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.81%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:24
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.25%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -11.96%E -2.32%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.79%EV -9.36%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 14:25
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.25%EV -5.57%E -3.69%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -11.96%E -2.32%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.79%EV -9.36%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -12.82%E -2.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -12.82%E -2.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -12.82%E -2.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.78%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.82%E -2.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41%EV -9.36%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.80%EV -8.69%E -5.95%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -12.82%E -2.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.38%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.46%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 14:15
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.46%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.46%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.46%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.44%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.46%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.19%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.53%E -4.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -14.46%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -11.20%E -7.88%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -12.42%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.45%E -8.89%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -14.53%E -2.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -14.46%E -3.44%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-09 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.40%EV -8.69%E -5.95%K -18.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.95%E -3.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -8.35%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-09 14:25
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-09 14:25
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-08-09 14:25