A Escola das Odds

FC Sion v FC Thun

Início: 2026-05-10 14:32 UTC

Final: FC Sion 2–0 FC Thun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Sion (Local)

Previsão 61.66%1.62odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.845%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%61.59%61.72%63.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.511.501.6071.43%66.23%66.67%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Thun (Visitante)

Previsão 17.23%5.81odd justa
EV +4.56%
Vantagem +0.751%
Kelly +0.899%
Crescimento +0.041%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.70%17.22%17.30%18.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.255.206.0722.22%19.06%19.23%16.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.12%4.73odd justa
EV +0.319%
Vantagem +0.067%
Kelly +0.085%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.80%21.20%20.98%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.234.204.7527.78%23.67%23.81%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.11%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.86%EV +4.56%E +0.751%K +0.899%G +0.041%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.03%EV -7.71%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +3.35%E +0.558%K +0.670%G +0.022%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +3.35%E +0.558%K +0.670%G +0.022%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.956%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.319%E +0.067%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:29
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -0.956%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.75%E -5.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:29
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:30
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:29
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.38%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -12.35%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:29
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -13.68%E -9.77%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.12%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.24%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:29
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.27%EV -1.35%E -0.845%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.76%EV -6.47%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.97%EV -7.28%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -3.91%E -0.858%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:30
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -3.91%E -0.858%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:30
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -8.75%E -5.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -8.75%E -5.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:29
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.83%EV -9.91%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.82%EV -5.38%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.66%EV -12.45%E -8.77%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 14:29
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:30
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 14:17
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:28
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -2.85%E -0.619%K -0.791%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 14:30
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 14:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -11.83%E -8.27%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.62%EV -11.83%E -8.27%K -27.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 14:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -18.18%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-10 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -22.49%E -5.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -23.97%E -6.66%K -9.22%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-10 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%1.6%2026-05-10 14:29