La escuela de los momios

FC Sion v FC Thun

Inicio: 2026-05-10 14:32 UTC

Final: FC Sion 2–0 FC Thun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Sion (Local)

Predicción 61.66%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.845%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%61.59%61.72%63.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.501.6071.43%66.23%66.67%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Thun (Visitante)

Predicción 17.23%5.81momio equitativo
EV +4.56%
Ventaja +0.751%
Kelly +0.899%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.70%17.22%17.30%18.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.255.206.0722.22%19.06%19.23%16.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.12%4.73momio equitativo
EV +0.319%
Ventaja +0.067%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.80%21.20%20.98%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.234.204.7527.78%23.67%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.11%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.86%EV +4.56%E +0.751%K +0.899%G +0.041%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.03%EV -7.71%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +3.35%E +0.558%K +0.670%G +0.022%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +3.35%E +0.558%K +0.670%G +0.022%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.956%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.319%E +0.067%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:29
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -0.956%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 14:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.75%E -5.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:29
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:30
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:29
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.38%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -3.54%E -0.632%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -12.35%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:29
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -13.68%E -9.77%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -5.26%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -6.12%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.24%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:29
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.27%EV -1.35%E -0.845%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.76%EV -6.47%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.97%EV -7.28%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -3.91%E -0.858%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:30
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -3.91%E -0.858%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.96%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:30
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -8.75%E -5.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -8.75%E -5.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:29
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.83%EV -9.91%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.82%EV -5.38%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.66%EV -12.45%E -8.77%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -10.43%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 14:29
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:30
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -13.41%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.15%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -8.13%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 14:17
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:28
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -9.37%E -6.37%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -2.85%E -0.619%K -0.791%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 14:30
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.67%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 14:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -11.83%E -8.27%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -13.87%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.52%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.62%EV -11.83%E -8.27%K -27.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -17.32%E -3.61%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -7.07%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 14:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -18.18%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -15.52%E -3.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-10 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -22.49%E -5.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -23.97%E -6.66%K -9.22%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-10 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 14:29
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%1.6%2026-05-10 14:29