Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion v FC Lausanne-Sport

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Sion 3–0 FC Lausanne-Sport

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Sion (Local)

Prediction 49.82%2.01fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.96%49.84%49.84%51.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.871.861.9557.80%53.55%53.76%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit)

Prediction 23.84%4.19fair odd
EV +4.20%
Edge +0.960%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 4.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%23.73%23.88%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.754.3728.57%26.01%26.67%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%26.44%26.29%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.7531.75%29.59%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Sion (Local): 49.82%; FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit): 23.84%; Draw: 26.34%. For FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.80%EV -5.35%E -2.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV +4.20%E +0.960%K +1.25%G +0.052%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.11%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 14:01
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.34%E -3.95%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.749%K +0.974%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -10.33%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +2.53%E +0.588%K +0.766%G +0.019%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -10.33%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.143%E +0.034%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -8.34%E -4.53%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV +0.143%E +0.034%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -9.39%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%EV -9.34%E -5.13%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV +0.143%E +0.034%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:48
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.33%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +0.143%E +0.034%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:00
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.36%EV -7.34%E -3.95%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.41%EV -0.334%E -0.080%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -9.39%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.85%E -3.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.24%E -0.547%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 09:00
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -10.33%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -2.24%E -0.547%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:20
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.66%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.08%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.26%EV -12.02%E -3.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.85%E -2.54%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:20
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.85%E -3.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 09:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.85%E -3.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 09:10
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.85%E -3.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.33%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -5.85%E -3.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.85%E -2.54%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:30
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -10.33%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.25%EV -13.82%E -7.99%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.35%E -3.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 09:07
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -2.86%E -1.47%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.22%E -0.326%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -6.35%E -3.38%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -2.86%E -1.47%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 08:40
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:45
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:45
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:40
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:55
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -3.36%E -1.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.86%E -2.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -17.03%E -5.41%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -3.86%E -2.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -17.03%E -5.41%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -10.83%E -6.05%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:09
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -6.85%E -3.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 09:09
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.33%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -2.54%E -0.686%K -0.940%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -9.34%E -5.13%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -6.85%E -3.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.33%EV -9.34%E -5.13%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 08:35
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 08:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 08:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 08:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:01
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.84%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 09:09
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -12.82%E -7.33%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -11.33%E -6.36%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -13.82%E -7.99%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -16.55%E -4.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-04-12 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-04-12 14:01