Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Luzern v Grasshopper Zürich

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Luzern 5–1 Grasshopper Zürich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Luzern (Local)

Prediction 55.75%1.79fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.08%55.76%55.75%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7463.69%60.34%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grasshopper Zürich (Visit)

Prediction 22.86%4.37fair odd
EV +0.579%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.170%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.20%22.79%22.90%24.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.79%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.39%4.67fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.72%21.45%21.35%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.254.5025.00%23.61%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Luzern (Local): 55.75%; Grasshopper Zürich (Visit): 22.86%; Draw: 21.39%. For Grasshopper Zürich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.579%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.69%E -5.98%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV +0.579%E +0.132%K +0.170%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:49
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.53%EV -3.00%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.42%EV -1.48%E -0.343%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.06%EV -6.29%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 15:50
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.04%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -2.62%E -0.615%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.60%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:02
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:02
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.85%E -0.671%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:54
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.99%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.99%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.99%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.99%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 15:55
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.99%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 15:55
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.99%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:32
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.99%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:38
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.44%EV -5.79%E -3.42%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.52%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 15:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.79%E -3.42%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.79%E -3.42%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:32
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -9.69%E -5.98%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -10.25%E -6.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.34%E -3.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.42%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -11.21%E -2.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.73%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 15:32
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 15:32
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 15:32
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 15:31
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.69%E -5.98%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 15:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.80%E -6.75%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 14:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.80%E -6.75%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.80%E -6.75%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -5.79%E -3.42%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:44
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:40
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:43
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -8.57%E -5.23%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:40
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -9.69%E -5.98%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 15:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -10.80%E -6.75%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -8.57%E -5.23%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.99%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -10.80%E -6.75%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -11.99%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 15:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -11.92%E -7.54%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -12.28%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 15:34
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.36%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -9.69%E -5.98%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:45
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -12.48%E -7.95%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -19.99%E -5.71%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -14.42%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-19 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-09-19 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-09-19 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-09-19 15:45
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-09-19 15:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%1.3%2026-09-19 15:40