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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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FC Luzern v FC Basel

2026-09-13 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Luzern (主队)

预测 45.09%2.22公平赔率
EV -5.30%
优势 -2.53%
Kelly -4.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
43.57%45.11%45.06%46.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.042.052.1051.55%49.11%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Basel (客队)

预测 31.45%3.18公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.08

博彩公司预测分布
30.86%31.47%31.48%33.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.872.903.0838.02%34.86%34.48%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.45%4.26公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -0.760%
Kelly -1.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.13

博彩公司预测分布
22.45%23.41%23.46%24.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.893.904.1327.78%25.68%25.64%24.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：FC Luzern (主队)：45.09%；FC Basel (客队)：31.45%；平局：23.45%。 对于“FC Basel (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.18。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.08，期望值为-3.12%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:10
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.79%EV -6.66%E -3.22%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.13%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.86%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.01%EV -3.14%E -0.760%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 17:20
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.35%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.84%E -0.937%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -8.53%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:25
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 15:25
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 17:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.78%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.75%EV -8.01%E -3.93%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.21%EV -5.95%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.02%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.92%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -9.41%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.81%E -4.91%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.99%EV -10.72%E -5.41%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.26%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.87%EV -11.62%E -5.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.80%EV -12.07%E -6.19%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.48%EV -17.28%E -6.57%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.72%EV -15.57%E -4.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-06 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.59%EV -12.52%E -6.45%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -15.07%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.38%EV -13.22%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 15:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 44.13%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.24%16.2%2026-09-06 15:25