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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
+ 新增模型所有模型

FC Lugano v FC St Gallen

開賽時間： 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC

最終賽果： FC Lugano 4–1 FC St Gallen

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

58 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

FC Lugano (主隊)

預測 43.09%2.32公平賠率
EV -2.62%
優勢 -1.16%
Kelly -2.08%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.26

博彩公司預測分布
41.48%43.29%43.19%46.68%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.932.112.152.2651.81%47.46%46.51%44.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

FC St Gallen (客隊)

預測 32.06%3.12公平賠率
EV -0.617%
優勢 -0.199%
Kelly -0.294%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.10

博彩公司預測分布
29.36%31.84%31.96%33.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.602.902.903.1038.46%34.48%34.48%32.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 24.85%4.02公平賠率
EV -0.583%
優勢 -0.146%
Kelly -0.194%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.00

博彩公司預測分布
23.80%24.86%24.85%26.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.403.693.704.0029.41%27.09%27.03%25.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：FC Lugano (主隊)：43.09%；FC St Gallen (客隊)：32.06%；和局：24.85%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於4.02的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為4.00，期望值為-0.583%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (58 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -11.77%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -2.62%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -11.77%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 16:41
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.61%EV -1.90%E -0.621%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.39%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 16:51
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -3.49%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -5.21%E -2.37%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.583%E -0.146%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.21%E -2.37%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.43%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.21%E -2.37%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 16:55
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.21%E -2.37%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.43%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.21%E -2.37%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.43%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 16:46
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.21%E -2.37%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -6.07%E -2.78%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.78%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 16:51
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -6.50%E -3.00%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.13%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 16:45
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.50%E -3.00%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.52%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.26%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.74%EV -6.07%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 16:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.23%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.23%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 16:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 16:35
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 16:51
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.23%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 16:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 16:55
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -8.66%E -4.08%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.12%EV -2.54%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.23%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-16 16:45
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.23%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-16 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -15.04%E -5.68%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.55%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:54
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.52%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.23%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:56
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.53%EV -11.67%E -5.69%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -15.04%E -5.68%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -11.77%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:11
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 03:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.51%EV -12.96%E -6.42%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.73%EV -11.20%E -4.04%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -11.77%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-16 16:46
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.72%EV -13.83%E -6.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.86%EV -16.65%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.20%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-16 16:51
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -15.98%E -8.20%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -0.617%E -0.199%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.55%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -15.98%E -8.20%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -16.41%E -8.46%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.96%EV -16.84%E -8.73%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -5.43%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.96%EV -16.84%E -8.73%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -5.43%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 03:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.96%EV -16.84%E -8.73%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -5.43%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 03:10
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 44.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 26.02%-1.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-09-16 16:55