A Escola das Odds

FC Lugano v FC St Gallen

Início: 2026-05-10 12:02 UTC

Final: FC Lugano 1–2 FC St Gallen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Previsão 42.14%2.37odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -2.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.69%42.11%42.20%43.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.182.202.3050.00%45.78%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC St Gallen (Visitante)

Previsão 31.80%3.15odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.462%
Kelly -0.682%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.05%31.79%31.87%33.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.892.883.1037.74%34.60%34.72%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.06%3.84odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -0.829%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.22%26.10%25.93%27.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.503.553.7532.26%28.54%28.17%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -3.07%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -1.75%E -0.566%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.54%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -3.07%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.28%E -0.608%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:59
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.77%EV -5.57%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 11:58
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 11:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 12:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -5.60%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:00
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -5.60%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -6.86%E -3.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -5.57%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 11:59
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:59
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:52
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:59
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 11:59
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -7.70%E -3.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -4.93%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -6.45%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 41.98%EV -7.70%E -3.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:59
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.12%E -3.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:59
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.12%E -3.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 12:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 11:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 12:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.49%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.64%EV -9.31%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 11:58
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.59%EV -12.76%E -6.16%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -13.60%E -6.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 11:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -13.60%E -6.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.71%E -7.86%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -19.22%E -6.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 42.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%4.3%2026-05-10 12:00