La escuela de los momios

FC Lugano v FC St Gallen

Inicio: 2026-05-10 12:02 UTC

Final: FC Lugano 1–2 FC St Gallen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Predicción 42.14%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.69%42.11%42.20%43.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.3050.00%45.78%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC St Gallen (Visitante)

Predicción 31.80%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.462%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.05%31.79%31.87%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.892.883.1037.74%34.60%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.06%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.608%
Kelly -0.829%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.10%25.93%27.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.553.7532.26%28.54%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -3.07%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -1.75%E -0.566%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.54%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -3.07%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.28%E -0.608%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:59
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.77%EV -5.57%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 11:58
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 11:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 12:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -5.60%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:00
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -5.60%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.02%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -6.86%E -3.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -5.57%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 11:59
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:59
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:52
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:59
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 11:59
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -7.70%E -3.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -4.93%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -6.45%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 41.98%EV -7.70%E -3.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:59
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.12%E -3.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:59
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.12%E -3.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 12:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 11:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.39%E -4.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 12:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.49%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.64%EV -9.31%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 11:58
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -11.50%E -5.47%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -15.74%E -5.94%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.59%EV -12.76%E -6.16%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -13.60%E -6.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 11:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -13.60%E -6.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.71%E -7.86%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -19.22%E -6.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 42.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%4.3%2026-05-10 12:00