La scuola delle quote

FC Lugano v FC Sion

Inizio: 2026-03-04 19:34 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Lugano (Casa)

Previsione 44.63%2.24quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.74%44.74%44.62%46.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.042.052.1854.05%49.13%48.78%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Sion (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.99%3.57quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -0.579%
Kelly -0.811%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%28.00%27.95%29.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.313.303.5033.90%30.21%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.38%3.65quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.396%
Kelly -0.549%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.04%27.26%27.43%29.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.373.403.6034.72%29.69%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.72%E -1.25%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -2.87%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 19:29
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.35%EV -4.95%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.62%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.03%EV -7.72%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:29
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 19:30
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 19:29
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.43%E -0.396%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:26
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 19:29
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:29
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.45%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:29
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 19:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 19:30
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.73%EV -6.73%E -3.22%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -2.59%E -0.743%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.91%E -3.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:29
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:29
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:30
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.68%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:26
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -8.07%E -3.92%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 19:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 19:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 19:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:29
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 19:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-04 19:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.60%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -17.42%E -5.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-04 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -21.14%E -7.34%K -11.25%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -11.64%E -5.88%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 19:27
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.09%E -6.14%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.01%EV -12.09%E -6.14%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 19:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:26
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.98%E -6.66%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-04 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -13.43%E -6.92%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.94%EV -13.87%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-04 19:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.78%EV -17.44%E -9.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.61%EV -16.02%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.61%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-04 19:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%2.2%2026-03-04 19:30
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.4%2026-03-04 19:30