مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Lugano v FC Sion

البداية: 2026-03-04 19:34 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Lugano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.63%2.24السعر العادل
EV -2.72%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -2.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.74%44.74%44.62%46.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.852.042.052.1854.05%49.13%48.78%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Sion (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.99%3.57السعر العادل
EV -2.03%
الأفضلية -0.579%
Kelly -0.811%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.67%28.00%27.95%29.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.313.303.5033.90%30.21%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.38%3.65السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -0.396%
Kelly -0.549%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.04%27.26%27.43%29.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.373.403.6034.72%29.69%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.72%E -1.25%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -2.87%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 19:29
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.35%EV -4.95%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.62%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.03%EV -7.72%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:29
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 19:30
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 19:29
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.43%E -0.396%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:26
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 19:29
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:29
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.45%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:29
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 19:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 19:30
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.73%EV -6.73%E -3.22%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -2.59%E -0.743%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.91%E -3.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:29
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:29
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:30
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.68%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:26
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -8.07%E -3.92%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:29
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 19:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 19:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 19:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:29
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 19:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-04 19:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.60%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -17.42%E -5.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-04 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -21.14%E -7.34%K -11.25%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -11.64%E -5.88%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 19:27
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.09%E -6.14%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.01%EV -12.09%E -6.14%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 19:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:26
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.53%E -6.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:30
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.98%E -6.66%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-04 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -13.43%E -6.92%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.94%EV -13.87%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -13.75%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-04 19:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.78%EV -17.44%E -9.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.61%EV -16.02%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.61%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-04 19:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%2.2%2026-03-04 19:30
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.0%2026-03-04 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.4%2026-03-04 19:30