Language:English
FC Lugano v FC Luzern
Head to Head
FC Lugano (Local)
Prediction 58.08%1.72fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -8.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.21%58.10%58.14%59.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.581.6366.67%63.54%63.09%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Luzern (Visit)
Prediction 20.84%4.80fair odd
EV +0.044%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.012%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%20.66%20.87%22.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.334.334.8026.32%23.10%23.09%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.08%4.74fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.842%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.39%21.24%20.99%22.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.284.304.6025.00%23.34%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Lugano (Local): 58.08%; FC Luzern (Visit): 20.84%; Draw: 21.08%. For FC Luzern (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.798. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.800, producing a positive expected value of +0.044%.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.044%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.03%E -0.659%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 08:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.73%EV -9.98%E -6.44%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -2.04%E -0.434%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-22 08:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.07%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.99%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.94%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-22 08:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-22 07:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.66%E -4.82%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.25%EV -11.14%E -7.28%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-22 08:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13%EV -6.50%E -4.03%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.08%EV -7.46%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 08:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.66%E -4.82%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.29%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-22 13:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.75%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.68%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 07:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -6.50%E -4.03%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.75%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -15.68%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-22 07:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -6.50%E -4.03%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.75%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -15.68%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-22 07:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -6.50%E -4.03%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.75%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -15.68%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-22 07:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.24%E -5.21%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -10.38%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.46%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-22 13:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.60%EV -12.88%E -8.59%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.33%EV -15.59%E -3.85%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.07%EV -13.57%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-22 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -11.72%E -7.71%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -16.63%E -4.16%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-22 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.09%EV -11.72%E -7.71%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.25%EV -18.71%E -4.80%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -11.46%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-22 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.08%EV -12.88%E -8.59%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -20.80%E -5.47%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -11.46%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-22 07:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.