L’École des cotes

FC Lugano v FC Lausanne-Sport

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Prévision 50.81%1.97cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.14%50.85%50.65%51.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.801.801.8960.24%55.51%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.766%
Avantage +0.180%
Kelly +0.236%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.62%23.68%23.84%25.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.854.2528.57%25.85%25.97%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.48%3.92cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.833%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.26%25.47%25.52%26.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.603.8031.25%27.65%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV +0.766%E +0.180%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV +0.766%E +0.180%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 15:05
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV +0.766%E +0.180%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 15:05
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.11%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV +0.528%E +0.125%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.420%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:24
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:10
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.70%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.17%EV -3.50%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.12%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:20
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.98%E -0.982%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 15:10
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:25
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 15:09
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:19
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.64%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:25
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.54%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:05
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:20
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 15:25
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 14:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 14:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:25
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 15:05
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:19
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -10.58%E -6.01%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 20:05
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 14:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:08
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 15:19
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 15:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.27%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 15:18
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.46%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.99%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -10.58%E -6.01%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -13.46%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-22 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.58%EV -12.61%E -7.33%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.46%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-22 15:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -12.10%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-22 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.86%EV -10.58%E -6.01%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -17.02%E -4.86%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-22 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.10%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -17.02%E -4.86%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -18.46%E -5.77%K -8.39%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-22 15:25
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.38%EV -15.66%E -9.43%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -17.02%E -4.86%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.73%EV -17.18%E -5.29%K -7.64%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-22 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-02-22 15:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-02-22 15:25