La escuela de los momios

FC Lugano v FC Lausanne-Sport

Inicio: 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Predicción 50.81%1.97momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -4.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.14%50.85%50.65%51.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.801.801.8960.24%55.51%55.56%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visitante)

Predicción 23.71%4.22momio equitativo
EV +0.766%
Ventaja +0.180%
Kelly +0.236%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.62%23.68%23.84%25.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.873.854.2528.57%25.85%25.97%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.48%3.92momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -0.833%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.26%25.47%25.52%26.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.603.8031.25%27.65%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV +0.766%E +0.180%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV +0.766%E +0.180%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 15:05
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV +0.766%E +0.180%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 15:05
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.11%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV +0.528%E +0.125%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.420%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:24
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 15:10
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.70%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.17%EV -3.50%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.12%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:20
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.98%E -0.982%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 15:10
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:25
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 14:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 15:09
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:19
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.64%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 15:25
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.54%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 15:05
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:20
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 15:25
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 14:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 14:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 15:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:20
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:25
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 15:05
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.17%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 20:05
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:19
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -10.58%E -6.01%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 20:05
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 15:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.26%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 14:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 15:08
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 15:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 15:19
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 15:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.09%E -6.34%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.27%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 15:18
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -13.46%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.99%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -10.58%E -6.01%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -13.46%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-22 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.58%EV -12.61%E -7.33%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.46%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-22 15:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -12.10%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-22 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.86%EV -10.58%E -6.01%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -17.02%E -4.86%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-22 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.10%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -17.02%E -4.86%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -18.46%E -5.77%K -8.39%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-22 15:25
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.38%EV -15.66%E -9.43%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -17.02%E -4.86%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.73%EV -17.18%E -5.29%K -7.64%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-22 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-02-22 15:25
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-02-22 15:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-02-22 15:25