The School of Odds
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FC Lausanne-Sport v FC Thun

2026-11-01 15:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lausanne-Sport (Local)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.55%37.37%37.37%38.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.92%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Visit)

Prediction 36.67%2.73fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.09%36.77%36.63%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.482.6143.48%40.67%40.40%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.94%3.85fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.506%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.38%25.86%26.00%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.483.8029.85%28.32%28.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Lausanne-Sport (Local): 37.39%; FC Thun (Visit): 36.67%; Draw: 25.94%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -1.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.91%EV -3.54%E -1.37%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.49%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -7.13%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 17:36
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.16%E -4.15%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 16:46
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.33%E -3.33%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 17:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.33%E -3.33%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.33%E -3.33%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.33%E -3.33%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 17:36
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.00%E -5.00%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 16:50
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.66%EV -7.65%E -3.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.06%EV -7.96%E -3.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -4.53%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.66%EV -7.65%E -3.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.06%EV -7.96%E -3.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -4.53%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.16%E -4.15%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.42%E -0.373%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 16:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.16%E -4.15%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.42%E -0.373%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.16%E -4.15%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.33%E -3.33%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 17:00
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.16%E -4.15%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 16:57
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.28%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.33%E -3.33%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.00%E -5.00%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.61%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 16:46
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.83%E -5.89%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.12%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.09%EV -10.90%E -4.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -15.66%E -6.81%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-25 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -15.66%E -6.81%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-25 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.