L’École des cotes

FC Lausanne-Sport v FC Basel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 13:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Local)

Prévision 39.05%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.950%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.64%38.95%38.92%40.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.362.382.5048.78%42.32%42.11%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Basel (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.81%2.87cote équitable
EV -0.780%
Avantage -0.274%
Kelly -0.422%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.79%34.97%34.77%37.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.582.602.8542.55%38.79%38.46%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.626%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%26.08%26.31%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.503.7632.26%28.41%28.57%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -2.38%E -0.950%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:45
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:00
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -15.40%E -6.34%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -15.40%E -6.34%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.93%EV -3.57%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.73%EV -1.73%E -0.460%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 12:59
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.95%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.61%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.44%EV -4.08%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 12:57
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -15.40%E -6.34%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.780%E -0.274%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 13:00
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.780%E -0.274%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:59
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.780%E -0.274%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:59
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.62%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.69%EV -5.11%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -17.14%E -7.20%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 13:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -17.14%E -7.20%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.59%EV -18.19%E -7.74%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.43%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 12:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 13:00
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 39.78%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.66%EV -5.31%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.55%EV -3.56%E -0.964%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 12:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 12:59
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:58
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:00
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 39.48%EV -8.62%E -3.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 12:57
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 39.86%EV -9.01%E -3.87%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 12:58
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 13:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12%EV -10.97%E -4.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.25%EV -11.92%E -4.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.63%EV -9.05%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 12:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 12:59
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.42%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.69%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.89%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -16.45%E -6.85%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -18.98%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.55%EV -19.95%E -9.73%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.64%EV -16.45%E -6.85%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.81%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-01 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-03-01 13:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-01 13:00