La escuela de los momios

FC Lausanne-Sport v FC Basel

Inicio: 2026-03-01 13:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Local)

Predicción 39.05%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.950%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.64%38.95%38.92%40.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.362.382.5048.78%42.32%42.11%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Basel (Visitante)

Predicción 34.81%2.87momio equitativo
EV -0.780%
Ventaja -0.274%
Kelly -0.422%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.79%34.97%34.77%37.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.582.602.8542.55%38.79%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.14%3.83momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.460%
Kelly -0.626%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.65%26.08%26.31%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.503.7632.26%28.41%28.57%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -2.38%E -0.950%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:45
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 13:00
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -15.40%E -6.34%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -3.16%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -15.40%E -6.34%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.93%EV -3.57%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.73%EV -1.73%E -0.460%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 12:59
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.95%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.61%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.44%EV -4.08%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 12:57
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -15.40%E -6.34%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.780%E -0.274%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 13:00
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.780%E -0.274%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:59
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.780%E -0.274%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 12:59
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.62%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.69%EV -5.11%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -17.14%E -7.20%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 13:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -17.14%E -7.20%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.59%EV -18.19%E -7.74%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.43%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 12:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 13:00
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 39.78%EV -7.45%E -3.14%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.66%EV -5.31%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.55%EV -3.56%E -0.964%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 12:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 12:59
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:58
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 13:00
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 39.48%EV -8.62%E -3.69%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 12:57
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 39.86%EV -9.01%E -3.87%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 12:58
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 13:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12%EV -10.97%E -4.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.25%EV -11.92%E -4.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.63%EV -9.05%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 12:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 12:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -8.79%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -14.71%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 12:59
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.42%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.69%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.89%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -16.45%E -6.85%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -18.98%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.55%EV -19.95%E -9.73%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.64%EV -16.45%E -6.85%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.81%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-01 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-03-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-03-01 13:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.8%2026-03-01 13:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-01 13:00