Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lausanne-Sport v BSC Young Boys

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lausanne-Sport (Local)

Prediction 41.14%2.43fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.61%41.14%41.21%42.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.252.3648.78%44.54%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BSC Young Boys (Visit)

Prediction 33.53%2.98fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.59%33.56%33.42%36.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.692.702.9040.82%37.13%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.313%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%25.30%25.37%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.653.703.9032.26%27.40%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Lausanne-Sport (Local): 41.14%; BSC Young Boys (Visit): 33.53%; Draw: 25.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.02%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.78%EV -1.22%E -0.313%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.78%EV -1.22%E -0.313%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 12:45
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.72%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.78%EV -1.22%E -0.313%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 12:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -7.46%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:45
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.09%EV -6.19%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:20
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.77%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.10%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 12:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 12:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 12:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 12:45
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.75%EV -7.84%E -3.50%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.52%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.74%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -7.84%E -3.50%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.79%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:53
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -3.75%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:34
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.45%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.45%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.16%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.82%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -16.18%E -6.47%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -21.48%E -6.93%K -10.23%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-15 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -12.78%E -6.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.71%EV -8.47%E -3.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -12.83%E -4.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 12:50
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -16.18%E -6.47%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -15.66%E -7.64%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -17.86%E -7.29%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-15 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-15 12:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-03-15 12:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-15 12:55