Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys v Servette

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 14:34 UTC

Final: BSC Young Boys 1–1 Servette

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prediction 45.67%2.19fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.18%45.67%45.62%47.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.1052.36%50.23%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Servette (Visit)

Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV +0.532%
Edge +0.156%
Kelly +0.222%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%29.61%29.59%31.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.4035.09%32.34%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.70%24.72%24.78%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.653.653.9631.25%27.42%27.40%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BSC Young Boys (Local): 45.67%; Servette (Visit): 29.57%; Draw: 24.77%. For Servette (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.532%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +0.532%E +0.156%K +0.222%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -0.947%E -0.283%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.93%EV -1.24%E -0.372%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -1.93%E -0.486%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 14:29
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.38%EV -4.90%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:29
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -4.20%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -7.87%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.38%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.38%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -5.38%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:28
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.38%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -9.13%E -4.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.86%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:29
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -9.13%E -4.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.86%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:29
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.86%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:29
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.59%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.62%EV -7.16%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.41%E -0.875%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.39%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:29
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.39%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.39%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:29
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -10.04%E -5.10%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.80%E -4.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -12.32%E -6.42%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.34%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.39%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.39%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.37%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.69%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.21%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -12.08%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.69%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.21%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -12.08%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.82%EV -11.41%E -5.88%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.82%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -12.08%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.76%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.45%EV -10.41%E -3.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 14:28
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -12.32%E -6.42%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -12.32%E -6.42%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.78%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -20.75%E -6.48%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -12.77%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -2.17%E -0.550%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -12.77%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.18%EV -6.39%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.01%EV -13.66%E -4.68%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.36%EV -11.87%E -6.15%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.98%EV -13.66%E -4.68%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -12.08%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -14.25%E -4.91%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.32%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.78%E -6.69%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -14.84%E -5.15%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -9.58%E -4.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -15.73%E -5.52%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.08%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-04-12 14:30