Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys v Servette

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

Final: BSC Young Boys 3–2 Servette

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prediction 60.23%1.66fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -7.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.79%60.27%60.22%61.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5969.44%65.21%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Servette (Visit)

Prediction 19.36%5.17fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.430%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%19.28%19.44%20.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.734.805.2623.81%21.15%20.83%19.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.41%4.90fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.811%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.38%20.45%20.34%21.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.444.504.7523.81%22.53%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BSC Young Boys (Local): 60.23%; Servette (Visit): 19.36%; Draw: 20.41%. For Servette (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.36%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.31%EV +1.83%E +0.348%K +0.430%G +0.008%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.32%EV -3.24%E -0.684%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -1.27%E -0.248%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.10%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.04%E -0.640%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 15:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -4.06%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:26
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:16
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.61%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 15:16
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -4.17%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -9.16%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 18.98%EV -4.75%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -5.14%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -5.14%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -5.14%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.14%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -6.10%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:16
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.14%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.18%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.06%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:50
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.36%EV -4.24%E -2.67%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:45
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:44
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:44
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:25
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:43
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:21
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.61%EV -7.46%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.29%EV -5.69%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 15:21
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.10%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.28%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -6.10%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 15:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 15:32
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.18%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:16
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -11.61%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -9.01%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -12.23%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 15:16
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.95%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -6.10%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:45
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -10.95%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -10.95%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.40%EV -9.06%E -6.00%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -13.25%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.40%EV -9.06%E -6.00%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -13.25%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.95%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -14.27%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.77%EV -10.86%E -7.34%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.57%EV -12.23%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 15:31
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.60%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.09%EV -13.85%E -3.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -10.18%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 15:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -14.82%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -4.06%E -0.864%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.82%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.61%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.82%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.61%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.82%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.61%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.82%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.61%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.37%EV -10.86%E -7.34%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -15.79%E -3.63%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -12.23%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -16.75%E -3.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 15:44
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.69%EV -13.27%E -9.22%K -30.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -18.69%E -4.45%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.85%EV -11.61%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-19 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-19 15:50