The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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BSC Young Boys v FC Zurich

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 13:02 UTC

Final: BSC Young Boys 3–5 FC Zurich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prediction 74.97%1.33fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -3.77%
Kelly -17.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.58%74.85%74.92%76.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.231.221.2786.21%81.42%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zurich (Visit)

Prediction 10.87%9.20fair odd
EV +8.65%
Edge +0.865%
Kelly +0.961%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.53%10.99%10.86%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.438.5010.0014.81%11.86%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.17%7.06fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +0.508%
Kelly +0.588%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 7.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.98%14.16%14.23%15.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.346.257.3217.24%15.78%16.00%13.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BSC Young Boys (Local): 74.97%; FC Zurich (Visit): 10.87%; Draw: 14.17%. For FC Zurich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.20. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -7.04%E -5.68%K -29.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +8.65%E +0.865%K +0.961%G +0.083%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -0.816%E -0.117%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 12:44
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -6.29%E -5.03%K -25.17%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 10.23%EV +1.81%E +0.193%K +0.216%G +0.004%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.09%EV +3.72%E +0.508%K +0.588%G +0.022%4.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:55
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:55
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:00
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV +2.02%E +0.280%K +0.325%G +0.007%7.0%2026-11-01 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:45
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.27%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -4.36%E -0.646%K -0.758%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 12:44
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 12:44
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -2.21%E -0.246%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.57%EV -7.04%E -5.68%K -29.34%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -4.39%E -0.498%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV -3.65%E -0.537%K -0.629%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.57%EV -7.04%E -5.68%K -29.34%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -4.39%E -0.498%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV -3.65%E -0.537%K -0.629%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -6.29%E -5.03%K -25.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.64%E -0.899%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.03%EV -9.29%E -7.68%K -44.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.64%E -0.899%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.816%E -0.117%K -0.136%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 12:34
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -7.64%E -0.899%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -7.64%E -0.899%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -7.64%E -0.899%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -7.64%E -0.899%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -7.64%E -0.899%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -11.44%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 12:45
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.95%EV -6.29%E -5.03%K -25.17%G +0.000%8.43I 11.86%NM 11.11%EV -8.41%E -0.997%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 13.94%EV -4.78%E -0.712%K -0.836%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.89%EV -5.54%E -4.40%K -21.32%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.23%EV -8.73%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.88%EV -3.65%E -0.537%K -0.629%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.51%EV -4.79%E -3.77%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.47%EV -10.36%E -1.26%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV -4.36%E -0.646%K -0.758%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:44
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.72%EV -7.79%E -6.34%K -33.88%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.14%EV -10.36%E -1.26%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:35
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -4.79%E -3.77%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -13.08%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 12:35
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.31%EV -7.04%E -5.68%K -29.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.08%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -7.90%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.38%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -13.08%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -17.82%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.70%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -13.08%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -17.82%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.70%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -13.08%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -17.82%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.70%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -13.08%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -17.82%E -3.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 11:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.31%EV -11.54%E -9.78%K -64.11%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -15.79%E -2.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.37%EV -13.57%E -2.22%K -2.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 12:45
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -18.51%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -18.51%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -18.51%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 12:45
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -18.51%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 12:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.97%EV -7.79%E -6.34%K -33.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.55%EV -21.23%E -2.93%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -4.36%E -0.646%K -0.758%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 12:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 73.65%EV -13.04%E -11.24%K -81.50%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.87%EV -21.77%E -3.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.48%EV -16.40%E -2.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -8.54%E -7.00%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.58%EV -10.04%E -8.37%K -50.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.90%EV -26.66%E -3.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -14.99%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-01 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.14%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%0.8%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.90%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%1.1%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.90%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%1.1%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.90%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%1.1%2026-11-01 12:55
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.64%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97%1.4%2026-11-01 12:55

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