L’École des cotes

BSC Young Boys v FC Thun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 15:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prévision 43.59%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.851%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.78%43.49%43.63%45.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.142.102.2554.05%46.81%47.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Thun (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.19%3.11cote équitable
EV +0.428%
Avantage +0.137%
Kelly +0.202%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.84%32.30%32.09%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.802.803.1239.22%35.75%35.71%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.22%4.13cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.352%
Kelly -0.467%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%24.21%24.28%26.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.763.804.0731.25%26.56%26.32%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -6.71%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV +0.428%E +0.137%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.77%EV -1.43%E -0.352%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:29
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:29
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:30
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -4.72%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.38%EV -9.91%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 15:29
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.84%E -2.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:28
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.81%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.62%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.27%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 15:29
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -10.63%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -12.81%E -6.41%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.81%E -6.41%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 15:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.27%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:29
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.27%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:29
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 43.70%EV -8.02%E -3.80%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.35%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 15:26
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.56%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 15:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:30
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 15:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.73%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.74%EV -10.84%E -3.91%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.53%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 15:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 15:29
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.05%EV -13.68%E -6.91%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.23%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.27%EV -14.12%E -7.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.02%EV -12.09%E -3.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-08 15:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -12.81%E -6.41%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -22.50%E -7.03%K -10.23%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-08 15:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.34%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -10.63%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -14.03%E -3.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 15:29
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.11%EV -16.74%E -8.76%K -18.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.91%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 15:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -19.35%E -10.46%K -22.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.84%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -16.45%E -4.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-08 15:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -2.79%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -16.31%E -6.27%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:29
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.22%EV -17.92%E -7.03%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34%2.7%2026-03-08 15:30