La escuela de los momios

BSC Young Boys v FC Thun

Inicio: 2026-03-08 15:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Predicción 43.59%2.29momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.851%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.78%43.49%43.63%45.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.142.102.2554.05%46.81%47.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Thun (Visitante)

Predicción 32.19%3.11momio equitativo
EV +0.428%
Ventaja +0.137%
Kelly +0.202%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.84%32.30%32.09%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.802.803.1239.22%35.75%35.71%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.352%
Kelly -0.467%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.98%24.21%24.28%26.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.763.804.0731.25%26.56%26.32%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -6.71%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV +0.428%E +0.137%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.77%EV -1.43%E -0.352%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 15:29
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:29
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:30
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -4.72%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.38%EV -9.91%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 15:29
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.84%E -2.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:28
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.81%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.62%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 15:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.27%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 15:29
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -10.63%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -12.81%E -6.41%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.81%E -6.41%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 15:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.27%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.13%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:29
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.27%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:29
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 43.70%EV -8.02%E -3.80%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.35%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 15:26
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:29
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.56%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 15:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:30
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 15:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:29
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.73%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.74%EV -10.84%E -3.91%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.53%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 15:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 15:29
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.05%EV -13.68%E -6.91%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.23%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.27%EV -14.12%E -7.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.02%EV -12.09%E -3.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-08 15:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -12.81%E -6.41%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -11.48%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -22.50%E -7.03%K -10.23%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-08 15:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.34%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -10.63%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -14.03%E -3.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 15:29
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.11%EV -16.74%E -8.76%K -18.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.91%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 15:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -19.35%E -10.46%K -22.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.84%EV -13.09%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -16.45%E -4.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-08 15:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -1.91%E -0.851%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.34%E -5.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.97%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -2.79%E -1.25%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -16.31%E -6.27%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:29
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -8.45%E -4.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.22%EV -17.92%E -7.03%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-08 15:30
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34%2.7%2026-03-08 15:30