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BSC Young Boys v FC Thun

2026-11-21 17:00 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prediction 68.43%1.46fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -4.04%
Kelly -14.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.55%68.56%68.35%69.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.331.351.3880.65%75.00%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Visit)

Prediction 15.18%6.59fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.564%
Kelly -0.669%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.65%15.18%15.27%16.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.825.886.3518.87%17.19%17.02%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.39%6.10fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.310%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.09%16.26%16.38%17.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.445.506.2021.28%18.40%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: BSC Young Boys (Local): 68.43%; FC Thun (Visit): 15.18%; Draw: 16.39%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.20, producing a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.31%EV -7.62%E -5.65%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV +1.61%E +0.260%K +0.310%G +0.005%6.9%2026-11-09 12:09
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.70%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.34%EV -6.16%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.96%EV -2.65%E -0.446%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-09 12:30
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.72%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 14.74%EV -3.73%E -0.588%K -0.699%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.54%EV -7.40%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.89%EV -7.62%E -5.65%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.65%EV -3.58%E -0.564%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.46%EV -7.40%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 11:46
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.60%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -12.69%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.22%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 16:32
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.77%EV -8.99%E -6.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.75%EV -5.86%E -0.945%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.48%EV -9.04%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.77%EV -8.99%E -6.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.75%EV -5.86%E -0.945%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.48%EV -9.04%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 11:24
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.86%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-09 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.86%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-09 13:23
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.49%EV -9.68%E -7.33%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.86%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-09 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.70%EV -11.05%E -8.50%K -36.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -16.49%E -3.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.30%EV -11.50%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-09 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.62%E -5.65%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.49%E -3.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.96%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 13:14
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.62%E -5.65%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.49%E -3.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.96%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 13:15
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.62%E -5.65%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.49%E -3.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.96%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -7.62%E -5.65%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.49%E -3.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.96%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.00%EV -12.41%E -9.70%K -44.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.18%EV -19.52%E -3.68%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -16.41%E -3.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.36%EV -12.41%E -9.70%K -44.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.40%EV -14.97%E -2.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.24%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-09 11:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 66.76%EV -15.15%E -12.22%K -63.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.62%EV -19.52%E -3.68%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.61%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%20.8%2026-11-09 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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