Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys v FC St Gallen

2026-10-24 18:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prediction 56.15%1.78fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -9.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.22%56.02%56.14%56.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.6764.10%61.39%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St Gallen (Visit)

Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV -6.97%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.01%22.98%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.924.004.0527.78%25.53%25.00%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.88%4.79fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -0.861%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.39%20.97%20.88%21.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.304.6025.00%23.14%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: BSC Young Boys (Local): 56.15%; FC St Gallen (Visit): 22.97%; Draw: 20.88%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -3.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.96%E -0.861%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-12 18:39
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.30%EV -7.88%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 18:34
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 18:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -6.97%E -1.72%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-12 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.91%E -4.83%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -10.22%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 16:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -10.22%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-12 18:34
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-12 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -10.16%E -6.35%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 18:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.22%EV -10.16%E -6.35%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -17.30%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -16.49%E -4.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-12 18:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.22%EV -12.41%E -7.95%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -10.22%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-12 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.15%EV -12.41%E -7.95%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -11.56%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -13.36%E -3.22%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-12 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.59%EV -12.41%E -7.95%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -12.31%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-12 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.