L’École des cotes

Varbergs BoIS v Östers IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 13:02 UTC

Score final : Varbergs BoIS 2–1 Östers IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prévision 52.35%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -3.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.40%52.38%52.42%54.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.741.751.8660.61%57.33%57.14%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Östers IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.92%4.36cote équitable
EV +0.388%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.115%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.72%22.96%22.99%24.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.014.004.3827.03%24.91%25.00%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.73%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.584%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.18%24.66%24.59%27.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.713.753.9532.26%26.92%26.67%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 53.44%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.72%EV +0.388%E +0.089%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 12:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -8.91%E -5.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.45%E -0.336%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.22%EV -8.98%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 12:59
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.78%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.57%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.65%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 12:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 13:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 12:49
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.63%E -8.26%K -20.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 12:59
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.14%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.49%EV -7.18%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 12:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 12:59
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.05%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-27 13:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -13.10%E -7.89%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.16%E -1.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 12:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.20%E -3.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 12:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 12:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.58%E -7.53%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-27 12:59
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 12:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.40%EV -12.58%E -7.53%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.45%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.15%EV -23.33%E -7.53%K -11.11%G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%4.0%2026-06-27 13:00