La escuela de los momios

Varbergs BoIS v Östers IF

Inicio: 2026-06-27 13:02 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 2–1 Östers IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Predicción 52.35%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -3.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.40%52.38%52.42%54.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.741.751.8660.61%57.33%57.14%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östers IF (Visitante)

Predicción 22.92%4.36momio equitativo
EV +0.388%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.72%22.96%22.99%24.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.014.004.3827.03%24.91%25.00%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.73%4.04momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.18%24.66%24.59%27.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.713.753.9532.26%26.92%26.67%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 53.44%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.72%EV +0.388%E +0.089%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 12:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -8.91%E -5.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.45%E -0.336%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.59%E -0.610%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -3.74%E -0.890%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -4.88%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.22%EV -8.98%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 12:59
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.78%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.57%EV -5.11%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.65%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 12:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 13:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -10.49%E -6.13%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 12:49
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.63%E -8.26%K -20.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 12:59
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.14%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.49%EV -7.18%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 12:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-27 12:59
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.05%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.47%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-27 13:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -13.10%E -7.89%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.16%E -1.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 12:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -11.76%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.20%E -3.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 12:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 12:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.58%E -7.53%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.91%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-27 12:59
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 12:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.40%EV -12.58%E -7.53%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.45%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.15%EV -23.33%E -7.53%K -11.11%G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -15.20%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%4.0%2026-06-27 13:00