L’École des cotes

Varbergs BoIS v Norrby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC

Score final : Varbergs BoIS 2–0 Norrby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prévision 56.75%1.76cote équitable
EV -4.66%
Avantage -2.77%
Kelly -6.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.36%56.77%56.70%59.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.631.621.6865.79%61.51%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Norrby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.78%5.32cote équitable
EV -0.463%
Avantage -0.087%
Kelly -0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.00%18.72%18.72%19.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.814.755.3022.22%20.80%21.05%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.47%4.09cote équitable
EV -4.57%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.71%24.51%24.58%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.723.783.9031.25%26.85%26.46%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.50%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.32%EV -2.72%E -0.525%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.18%EV -7.75%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 16:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.80%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 16:49
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.22%E -0.827%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:50
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.89%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -4.22%E -0.827%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:50
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.80%EV -6.85%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -7.51%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 16:50
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 16:49
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 16:49
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 16:50
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:50
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:50
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:49
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.93%E -4.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 16:49
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.91%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.54%EV -7.51%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 16:50
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.08%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.61%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-10 16:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.21%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.04%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.80%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 16:49
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.21%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.04%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.80%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-10 16:49
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-10 16:49
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-10 16:49
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-10 16:49
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -8.06%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.61%E -2.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-10 16:50
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -0.463%E -0.087%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 16:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 16:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 16:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-10 15:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-10 16:50
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.17%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -10.90%E -6.94%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -10.90%E -6.94%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -21.70%E -6.78%K -9.86%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-10 16:50
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 56.11%EV -12.04%E -7.77%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.31%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -16.81%E -4.94%K -7.00%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.28%EV -13.74%E -9.04%K -26.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -0.463%E -0.087%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-10 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.89%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-06-10 16:50