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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Varbergs BoIS v IK Brage

Início: 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 3–2 IK Brage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Previsão 57.14%1.75odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.659%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.26%57.23%57.10%59.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.611.601.7365.79%62.26%62.50%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Brage (Visitante)

Previsão 19.69%5.08odd justa
EV +0.407%
Vantagem +0.080%
Kelly +0.099%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.44%19.70%19.69%21.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.624.605.1023.81%21.64%21.74%19.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.17%4.32odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -0.585%
Kelly -0.767%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.06%23.07%23.22%24.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.933.904.2127.03%25.43%25.64%23.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 57.14%; IK Brage (Visitante): 19.69%; Empate: 23.17%. Para IK Brage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.08. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.407%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -9.14%E -5.75%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV +0.407%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.69%E -0.642%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -13.14%E -8.64%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -3.53%E -0.721%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 09:45
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.01%EV -6.85%E -4.21%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.54%EV -4.71%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.46%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.69%E -0.642%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.01%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 10:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.43%E -4.58%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.33%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.43%EV -9.71%E -6.15%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 13:44
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.60%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.84%EV -7.86%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.56%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:59
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.01%EV -2.85%E -1.68%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.48%EV -8.45%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -6.17%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:53
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.43%E -4.58%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:30
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -11.43%E -7.37%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -12.57%E -8.21%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 13:44
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:55
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 08:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -13.37%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.46%EV -11.43%E -7.37%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -13.37%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.46%EV -11.43%E -7.37%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -13.37%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -1.14%E -0.659%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -14.75%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 05:45
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -14.75%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -17.31%E -4.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-18 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30