L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Varbergs BoIS v IK Brage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Score final : Varbergs BoIS 3–2 IK Brage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prévision 57.14%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.659%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%57.23%57.10%59.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.611.601.7365.79%62.26%62.50%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IK Brage (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.69%5.08cote équitable
EV +0.407%
Avantage +0.080%
Kelly +0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.44%19.70%19.69%21.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.624.605.1023.81%21.64%21.74%19.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.17%4.32cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.585%
Kelly -0.767%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.06%23.07%23.22%24.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.933.904.2127.03%25.43%25.64%23.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Varbergs BoIS (Local) : 57.14% ; IK Brage (Visiteur) : 19.69% ; Match nul : 23.17%. Pour IK Brage (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.08. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.407%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -9.14%E -5.75%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV +0.407%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.69%E -0.642%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -13.14%E -8.64%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -3.53%E -0.721%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 09:45
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.01%EV -6.85%E -4.21%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.54%EV -4.71%E -0.974%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.46%EV -2.46%E -0.585%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.69%E -0.642%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.01%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.40%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:50
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 10:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -6.48%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.43%E -4.58%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.33%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.43%EV -9.71%E -6.15%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 13:44
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.60%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.84%EV -7.86%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.56%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:59
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.01%EV -2.85%E -1.68%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.48%EV -8.45%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -6.17%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:53
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.01%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.43%E -4.58%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:30
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -11.43%E -7.37%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -12.57%E -8.21%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 13:44
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.80%E -2.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 08:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:55
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.41%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 08:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -13.37%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.46%EV -11.43%E -7.37%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -13.37%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.46%EV -11.43%E -7.37%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -13.37%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -1.14%E -0.659%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -14.75%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 05:45
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -14.75%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -17.31%E -4.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-18 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30