Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS v Helsingborgs IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 17:05 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 0–0 Helsingborgs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prediction 51.15%1.95fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.77%51.40%51.17%54.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.8760.61%55.86%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +0.797%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%22.77%23.05%23.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.963.994.5027.03%25.24%25.09%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.660%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%25.82%25.78%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.563.8030.30%28.24%28.05%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 51.15%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 23.02%; Draw: 25.83%. For Helsingborgs IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +3.58%E +0.797%K +1.02%G +0.037%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.85%E -0.487%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.29%EV -15.60%E -9.45%K -24.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -1.02%E -0.237%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-19 15:35
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -2.17%E -0.511%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.49%EV -3.40%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-19 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.45%EV -2.40%E -0.566%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -3.66%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 16:55
Betsson🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.62%EV -4.86%E -2.61%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -5.16%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.32%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.48%E -5.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-19 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-19 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-19 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.14%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.14%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.14%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.14%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.88%E -3.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 15:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-19 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-19 15:10
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-19 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-19 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.48%E -5.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-19 16:55
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.22%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.53%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.15%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.13%EV -8.39%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.72%EV -7.53%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-19 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-19 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.50%EV -10.48%E -5.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 16:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 16:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.48%E -5.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-19 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.31%EV -12.53%E -7.33%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -10.23%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-19 17:00
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 16:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 16:30
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -11.38%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 16:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 15:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 15:10
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.53%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-19 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -11.00%E -6.32%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.74%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -8.31%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.51%E -6.65%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.26%EV -12.53%E -7.33%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.26%EV -12.53%E -7.33%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-19 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.1%2026-10-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.1%2026-10-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.1%2026-10-19 17:00
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.1%2026-10-19 17:00