L’École des cotes

Varbergs BoIS v GIF Sundsvall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 13:02 UTC

Score final : Varbergs BoIS 1–0 GIF Sundsvall

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prévision 65.19%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.36%65.29%65.29%67.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.421.421.5075.19%70.28%70.42%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

GIF Sundsvall (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.65%7.91cote équitable
EV +6.23%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +0.843%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 8.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.11%12.57%12.47%15.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.007.008.4016.67%14.29%14.29%11.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.16%4.51cote équitable
EV -0.260%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%22.13%22.25%23.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.094.104.5026.67%24.43%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 13:00
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 13:00
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:59
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.05%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV +4.97%E +0.599%K +0.681%G +0.034%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -6.24%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:59
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +1.18%E +0.147%K +0.168%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 12:59
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.14%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 11.87%EV -0.721%E -0.092%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -10.23%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:59
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.22%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -3.88%E -0.511%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:59
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 13:00
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -10.69%E -7.80%K -28.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -0.260%E -0.058%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -13.56%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -12.00%E -8.89%K -34.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 13:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 13:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 13:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 13:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 13:00
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.00%EV -8.08%E -5.73%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -8.31%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 12:59
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.16%EV -10.21%E -1.44%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -3.58%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 12:59
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.03%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 13:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -14.67%E -3.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 12:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-24 13:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -13.30%E -10.00%K -40.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -16.88%E -4.50%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 12:59
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -14.00%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 13:00
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -14.63%E -2.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -14.63%E -2.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 12:59
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 12:57
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 13:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -24.12%E -4.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -24.12%E -4.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.36%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-05-24 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-05-24 13:00