La escuela de los momios

Varbergs BoIS v GIF Sundsvall

Inicio: 2026-05-24 13:02 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 1–0 GIF Sundsvall

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Predicción 65.19%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.36%65.29%65.29%67.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.421.5075.19%70.28%70.42%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Predicción 12.65%7.91momio equitativo
EV +6.23%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +0.843%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.11%12.57%12.47%15.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.007.008.4016.67%14.29%14.29%11.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.16%4.51momio equitativo
EV -0.260%
Ventaja -0.058%
Kelly -0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%22.13%22.25%23.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.094.104.5026.67%24.43%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 13:00
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 13:00
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +6.23%E +0.742%K +0.843%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:59
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.05%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.46%EV +4.97%E +0.599%K +0.681%G +0.034%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -6.24%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:59
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +1.18%E +0.147%K +0.168%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 12:59
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.14%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 11.87%EV -0.721%E -0.092%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -10.23%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:59
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.22%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -3.88%E -0.511%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:59
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 13:00
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -10.69%E -7.80%K -28.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -0.260%E -0.058%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -13.56%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -12.00%E -8.89%K -34.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 13:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 13:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 13:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 13:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -5.15%E -0.686%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 13:00
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.00%EV -8.08%E -5.73%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -8.31%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 12:59
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.16%EV -10.21%E -1.44%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -3.58%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 12:59
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.03%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 13:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -14.67%E -3.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.77%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 12:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-24 13:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -13.30%E -10.00%K -40.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -11.47%E -1.64%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -16.88%E -4.50%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 12:59
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -14.00%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 13:00
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -14.63%E -2.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -14.63%E -2.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 12:59
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 12:57
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.79%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -20.96%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:00
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 13:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -22.85%E -3.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -24.12%E -4.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -24.12%E -4.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.34%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.36%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-05-24 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-05-24 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-05-24 13:00