L’École des cotes

Sandvikens IF v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sandvikens IF 2–2 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prévision 35.26%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.450%
Kelly -0.700%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.71%35.42%35.28%37.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.542.8043.48%39.29%39.45%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.45%2.67cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.414%
Kelly +0.658%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.84%37.40%37.42%38.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.472.7043.48%39.99%40.49%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.28%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.493%
Kelly -0.683%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%27.19%27.31%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.353.403.6034.72%29.87%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.82%EV -11.13%E -4.42%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.70%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.78%E -0.493%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -13.60%E -5.55%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -0.754%E -0.284%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -13.60%E -5.55%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -0.754%E -0.284%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -16.07%E -6.75%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:28
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:56
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 34.95%EV -3.73%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.71%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.34%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.62%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.62%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -18.89%E -8.21%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -7.26%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -7.50%E -3.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -7.26%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -7.50%E -3.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 14:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -1.26%E -0.450%K -0.700%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.79%E -1.77%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:28
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.42%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:29
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 34.87%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.44%EV -8.62%E -3.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS2.62I 38.17%NM 34.87%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.44%EV -8.62%E -3.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -1.78%E -0.493%K -0.683%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.34%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -10.87%E -4.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -10.87%E -4.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -7.26%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 14:28
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -15.42%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-12 14:30