La escuela de los momios

Sandvikens IF v Varbergs BoIS

Inicio: 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 2–2 Varbergs BoIS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Predicción 35.26%2.84momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.450%
Kelly -0.700%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.71%35.42%35.28%37.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.552.542.8043.48%39.29%39.45%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)

Predicción 37.45%2.67momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.414%
Kelly +0.658%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.84%37.40%37.42%38.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.472.7043.48%39.99%40.49%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.28%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.493%
Kelly -0.683%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%27.19%27.31%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.403.6034.72%29.87%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -12.55%E -5.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV +1.12%E +0.414%K +0.658%G +0.007%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.82%EV -11.13%E -4.42%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.70%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.78%E -0.493%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -13.60%E -5.55%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -0.754%E -0.284%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -13.60%E -5.55%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -0.754%E -0.284%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -14.31%E -5.89%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -1.50%E -0.571%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -16.07%E -6.75%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:28
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:56
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 34.95%EV -3.73%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.71%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.34%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:30
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.62%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.62%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -18.89%E -8.21%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -7.26%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -7.50%E -3.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -7.26%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -7.50%E -3.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 14:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -1.26%E -0.450%K -0.700%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.79%E -1.77%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:28
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.42%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 14:29
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 34.87%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.44%EV -8.62%E -3.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS2.62I 38.17%NM 34.87%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.44%EV -8.62%E -3.53%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -1.78%E -0.493%K -0.683%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.34%EV -6.20%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -10.87%E -4.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -10.87%E -4.57%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -7.26%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.84%E -4.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 14:28
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -10.08%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -15.42%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-12 14:30