Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF v Örebro SK

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 4–2 Örebro SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prediction 39.89%2.51fair odd
EV +0.114%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.64%39.86%39.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.252.5147.62%44.03%44.44%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro SK (Visit)

Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV -0.862%
Edge -0.283%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.97%32.41%32.56%34.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.0538.46%35.64%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.61%3.62fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%27.73%27.58%30.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.313.5532.26%30.06%30.21%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandvikens IF (Local): 39.89%; Örebro SK (Visit): 32.50%; Draw: 27.61%. For Sandvikens IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.507. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.510, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.114%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.06%EV +0.114%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.17%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -8.34%E -2.51%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 14:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.64%EV -0.285%E -0.114%K -0.190%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -1.08%E -0.437%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.91%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:56
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.29%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.75%EV -8.01%E -2.83%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:56
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.37%E -0.962%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:49
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:56
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -7.07%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:56
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.97%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:35
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.37%E -0.962%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 14:56
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:56
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 14:56
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:56
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:46
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -9.06%E -3.97%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -0.862%E -0.283%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -1.99%E -0.559%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.99%E -0.559%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:36
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.99%E -0.559%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.99%E -0.559%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:36
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.99%E -0.559%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:35
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -2.49%E -0.829%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:56
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:31
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:41
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:56
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 14:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 14:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 14:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 14:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 14:56
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 14:56
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.86%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-19 14:51
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -15.49%E -5.96%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-19 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.36%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 14:45
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -13.05%E -5.99%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -13.05%E -5.99%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:36
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -13.05%E -5.99%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:36
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -13.05%E -5.99%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:35
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -13.05%E -5.99%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:36
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -13.05%E -5.99%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:36
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -14.25%E -6.63%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.61%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 14:36
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -15.44%E -7.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-19 14:36
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -15.44%E -7.28%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-19 14:35
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -16.24%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -3.37%E -0.962%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 14:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-09-19 14:56
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-09-19 14:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-09-19 14:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.04%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-09-19 14:51