L’École des cotes

Sandvikens IF v Ljungskile SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sandvikens IF 1–0 Ljungskile SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prévision 33.54%2.98cote équitable
EV -4.74%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.96%33.60%33.50%35.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.722.752.8438.46%36.70%36.36%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ljungskile SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.51%2.53cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.810%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.55%39.36%39.54%40.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.302.4847.62%43.19%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -0.986%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.12%27.04%26.96%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.453.5833.33%29.46%28.99%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.60%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.65%EV -3.53%E -0.986%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.75%E -2.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:54
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.42%EV -5.42%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -2.01%E -0.810%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 09:54
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 14:54
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:54
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:45
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.76%E -2.43%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:45
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.76%E -2.43%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:44
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.76%E -2.43%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 14:55
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:45
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:44
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:44
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:45
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:44
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -9.91%E -4.35%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:48
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:50
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 14:44
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.55%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:55
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:54
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 14:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 14:54
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 14:44
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 14:44
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.77%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -11.79%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -17.02%E -8.11%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-09 14:54
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:49
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 14:54
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 14:54
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 14:54
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 14:55
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 15:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 15:45
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.07%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.45%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-05-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-05-09 14:50
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-05-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-09 14:44