La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sandvikens IF v Ljungskile SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sandvikens IF (Local)
Predicción 33.54%2.98momio equitativo
EV -4.74%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.96%33.60%33.50%35.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.722.752.8438.46%36.70%36.36%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ljungskile SK (Visitante)
Predicción 39.51%2.53momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.810%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.55%39.36%39.54%40.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.302.4847.62%43.19%43.48%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -0.986%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.12%27.04%26.96%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.453.5833.33%29.46%28.99%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.60%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.65%EV -3.53%E -0.986%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.75%E -2.86%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.42%EV -5.42%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -2.01%E -0.810%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 09:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.94%E -3.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.09%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:40 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.76%E -2.43%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.76%E -2.43%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.76%E -2.43%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:45 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -9.91%E -4.35%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.69%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.55%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.73%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.77%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -11.79%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -17.02%E -8.11%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:49 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 15:45 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-06 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-06 15:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.07%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.07%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.45% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |