Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF v IFK Norrkoping

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:01 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 1–4 IFK Norrkoping

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prediction 23.18%4.31fair odd
EV +0.843%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.252%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.02%23.09%23.14%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.913.904.3528.57%25.59%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Norrkoping (Visit)

Prediction 52.86%1.89fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.70%52.97%52.91%55.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.741.8561.73%57.49%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.97%23.94%23.95%25.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.783.754.0427.78%26.45%26.67%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandvikens IF (Local): 23.18%; IFK Norrkoping (Visit): 52.86%; Draw: 23.96%. For Sandvikens IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.843%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV +0.843%E +0.194%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.62%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.53%EV -3.22%E -0.796%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:50
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -0.316%E -0.073%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -10.66%E -6.31%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -0.316%E -0.073%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -14.37%E -8.87%K -23.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:40
1xBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -3.79%E -0.914%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.09%EV -6.96%E -3.96%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.40%EV -8.25%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -3.79%E -0.914%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.30%EV -8.49%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 14:59
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -6.96%E -3.96%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:35
BetUS🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:34
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.37%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:34
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -2.21%E -1.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 14:39
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:58
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:58
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -5.91%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:44
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -5.91%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:39
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.14%E -5.96%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 14:59
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.14%E -5.96%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.14%E -5.96%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -6.96%E -3.96%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.38%E -3.00%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.38%E -3.00%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.38%E -3.00%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.38%E -3.00%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 14:39
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.14%E -5.96%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 14:44
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -11.72%E -7.02%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 14:44
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -10.75%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:39
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:35
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:34
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:39
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:45
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 14:59
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 14:59
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.07%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 14:45
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.07%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 14:43
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.27%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:34
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%EV -9.08%E -5.28%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.07%EV -11.19%E -6.66%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-14 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.07%EV -11.19%E -6.66%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-14 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.54%E -4.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 14:35
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.54%E -4.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 14:34
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -18.86%E -5.39%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -10.14%E -5.96%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-08-15 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.6%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.6%2026-08-15 14:50
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-08-15 15:00