The School of Odds
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Östersunds FK v Varbergs BoIS

2026-11-21 12:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV -5.98%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.64%40.88%40.88%40.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.232.3046.51%44.73%44.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 31.27%3.20fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.25%31.27%31.27%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.902.883.0035.71%34.43%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -6.70%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.85%27.85%27.85%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.263.253.3531.75%30.65%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Östersunds FK (Local): 40.88%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 31.27%; Draw: 27.85%. For Östersunds FK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -5.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.70%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.70%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.70%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.70%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 13:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -8.84%E -3.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.94%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 12:54
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -8.84%E -3.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.94%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 12:54
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -8.84%E -3.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.94%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 12:55
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -8.84%E -3.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.94%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -8.84%E -3.96%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -9.94%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-09 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.88%EV -10.88%E -4.99%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.27%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.88%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-09 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.27%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-09 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -12.44%E -4.44%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.27%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-09 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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