Language:English
Östersunds FK v Varbergs BoIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Östersunds FK (Local)
Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.806%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.84%43.84%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.082.2451.28%48.06%48.08%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visit)
Prediction 28.00%3.57fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%28.02%28.02%29.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.74%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.14%28.15%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.07%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 43.84%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 28.00%; Draw: 28.16%. For Östersunds FK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.41%EV -1.80%E -0.806%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.75%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.00%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.25%EV -6.23%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.19%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.01%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.01%EV -5.39%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 09:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-22 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-01 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.30%EV -8.38%E -4.01%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 01:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.82%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -9.26%E -4.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.06%EV -8.15%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 10:32 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 10:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 01:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.19%E -4.25%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-02 06:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.12%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 01:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.12%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.33%E -6.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.56%EV -12.76%E -6.41%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-29 10:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -13.64%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -14.52%E -7.44%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.99%E -5.33%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-29 10:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93% | 171.1% | 2026-10-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93% | 171.1% | 2026-10-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.92% | 181.3% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |