Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK v Sandvikens IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 11:00 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 2–1 Sandvikens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prediction 49.65%2.01fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.62%49.62%49.69%51.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.871.9557.14%53.40%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visit)

Prediction 24.32%4.11fair odd
EV -0.520%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.168%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.58%24.28%24.38%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.704.0928.57%26.93%27.03%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -0.866%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%26.10%25.93%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.453.7533.33%28.88%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 49.65%; Sandvikens IF (Visit): 24.32%; Draw: 26.03%. For Sandvikens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.09, with an expected value of -0.520%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -4.98%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 06:50
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.98%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -0.520%E -0.127%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 10:38
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -3.92%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -3.92%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -2.38%E -0.635%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.09%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.09%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.09%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.01%E -2.70%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.09%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.09%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.09%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -8.65%E -4.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.81%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -14.87%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -14.87%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.09%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -21.90%E -7.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -13.12%E -7.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.12%E -7.50%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -12.44%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.49%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40