The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Östersunds FK v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 11:00 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 4–1 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prediction 70.29%1.42fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -12.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.81%70.14%70.40%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3680.00%76.38%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 11.07%9.03fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.318%
Kelly +0.356%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.93%11.18%11.09%12.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.058.009.3014.29%12.42%12.50%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.64%5.36fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.72%18.68%18.50%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.894.905.2522.22%20.45%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 70.29%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 11.07%; Draw: 18.64%. For Nordic United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.24%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.27%EV +2.95%E +0.318%K +0.356%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.49%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 10:00
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -0.368%E -0.041%K -0.046%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 10:48
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -0.368%E -0.041%K -0.046%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -12.14%E -9.71%K -48.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.368%E -0.041%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.52%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 10:20
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.09%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.73%EV -1.70%E -0.191%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.18%EV -2.32%E -0.443%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.03%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.86I 11.29%NM 10.74%EV -1.92%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.23%EV -2.69%E -0.516%K -0.639%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 10:51
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.86%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.77%EV -3.14%E -0.358%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.37%EV -4.37%E -0.852%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 10:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.503%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.33%E -7.23%K -32.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.07%E -0.590%K -0.730%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 10:24
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:51
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -12.14%E -9.71%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -12.14%E -9.71%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -5.90%E -0.694%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 10:46
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.55%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -7.01%E -0.834%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.53%EV -7.73%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.43%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -9.22%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.93%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 10:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.43%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -9.22%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -4.93%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 10:51
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.03%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.49%EV -10.88%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -11.44%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.07%E -0.590%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -11.44%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -11.44%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:30
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -11.44%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -11.44%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.90%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -11.44%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.74%EV -9.59%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.45%EV -12.14%E -9.71%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -11.44%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-24 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 10:25
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 10:46
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:25
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:25
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:24
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.67%EV -9.33%E -7.23%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.34%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 10:50
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.33%E -7.23%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 10:35
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.97%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -16.12%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -22.51%E -3.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -10.52%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-24 10:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -22.51%E -3.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -16.12%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-24 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.02%EV -10.73%E -8.45%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -22.51%E -3.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.02%EV -10.73%E -8.45%K -39.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -22.51%E -3.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.87%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-10-24 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.52%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-10-24 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%1.9%2026-10-24 10:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%1.9%2026-10-24 10:55

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