L’École des cotes

Östers IF v Örebro SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Prévision 52.66%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -4.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.80%52.72%52.41%55.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.731.8361.73%58.00%57.80%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örebro SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.68%4.41cote équitable
EV +7.74%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.160%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.70%22.54%22.94%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.184.104.7527.78%23.90%24.39%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.65%4.06cote équitable
EV +3.79%
Avantage +0.901%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%24.74%24.65%26.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.754.2131.25%27.03%26.67%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +6.61%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.118%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +6.61%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.118%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:09
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:09
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:09
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:10
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -13.11%E -7.94%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 10:09
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.68%E -9.06%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 10:10
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV +0.938%E +0.211%K +0.272%G +0.003%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -11.49%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 10:40
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.196%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV +1.08%E +0.263%K +0.348%G +0.004%4.9%2026-04-11 10:00
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.95%E -5.82%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.85%E -0.987%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:49
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -6.79%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -10.75%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -13.11%E -7.94%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 10:19
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 10:49
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:40
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 12:25
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.54%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.64%EV +3.79%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%4.9%2026-04-11 10:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:48
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.79%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:49
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:50
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:50
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 10:40
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 10:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 10:49
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 10:40
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 10:50
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 10:50
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:39
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.05%E -7.22%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -21.11%E -6.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 10:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -18.34%E -5.10%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50