La escuela de los momios

Östers IF v Örebro SK

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Predicción 52.66%1.90momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -4.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.80%52.72%52.41%55.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.731.8361.73%58.00%57.80%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Predicción 22.68%4.41momio equitativo
EV +7.74%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.160%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.70%22.54%22.94%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.184.104.7527.78%23.90%24.39%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.65%4.06momio equitativo
EV +3.79%
Ventaja +0.901%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.64%24.74%24.65%26.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.703.754.2131.25%27.03%26.67%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.74%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.160%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +6.61%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.118%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -11.53%E -6.86%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +6.61%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.118%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 10:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:09
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:09
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:09
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:10
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -13.11%E -7.94%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV +4.34%E +0.944%K +1.21%G +0.052%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 10:09
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.68%E -9.06%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -10.01%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 10:10
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -3.63%E -1.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV +0.938%E +0.211%K +0.272%G +0.003%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -11.49%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 10:40
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.196%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV +1.08%E +0.263%K +0.348%G +0.004%4.9%2026-04-11 10:00
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.95%E -5.82%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.85%E -0.987%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:49
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -6.79%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -10.75%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -13.11%E -7.94%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 10:19
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 10:49
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:40
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 12:25
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.54%EV -6.26%E -3.52%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.64%EV +3.79%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%4.9%2026-04-11 10:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:48
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.79%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:49
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:50
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:50
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.21%E -2.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.32%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -8.37%E -4.81%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 10:40
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.42%E -5.48%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 10:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -16.18%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 10:49
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 10:40
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 10:50
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -12.58%E -7.58%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.25%E -3.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 10:50
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:39
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.55%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.05%E -7.22%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -21.11%E -6.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 10:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -18.34%E -5.10%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.71%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 10:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 10:50