L’École des cotes

Östers IF v Ljungskile SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

Score final : Östers IF 1–4 Ljungskile SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Prévision 40.34%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.28%40.38%40.42%41.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.14%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ljungskile SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.66%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.826%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.96%33.62%33.64%35.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.31%36.23%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -0.902%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.55%26.00%25.94%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.75%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:40
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:45
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Coolbet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.96%EV -3.59%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.92%EV -3.59%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.00%EV -4.56%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.43%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.43%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:50
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.34%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.44%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -6.90%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 20:46
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 20:46
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 20:45
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 20:46
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -12.49%E -4.80%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.48%E -0.662%K -0.902%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 04:25
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.45%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -6.90%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 20:46
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:56
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 16:56
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 07:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:36
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:55
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -12.88%E -3.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-15 20:46
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.48%E -4.37%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-14 16:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-14 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -13.27%E -6.17%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.27%E -6.17%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.49%E -4.80%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 07:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.27%E -6.17%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -14.17%E -5.56%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -15.29%E -7.28%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -11.48%E -4.37%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.99%E -7.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-16 13:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40